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Could the Libya & Turkey Military Agreement Trigger New Regional Tensions?

July 12, 2025
Could the Libya & Turkey Military Agreement Trigger New Regional Tensions?

Could the Libya & Turkey Military Agreement Trigger New Regional Tensions?

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Libya’s Government of National Unity (GNU) and the Turkish Ministry of Defense signed a new military cooperation agreement last Thursday, marking another chapter in the growing partnership between Ankara and Tripoli.

According to an official statement issued by the GNU, the deal includes provisions for advanced military training, logistical and technical support, and the exchange of expertise, with the stated goal of improving the operational readiness of Libya’s armed forces. The agreement was finalized during a visit by Defense Ministry undersecretary Abdulsalam Al-Zoubi to Ankara, where he met Turkish Defense Minister Yaşar Güler.

Though not unexpected, the timing of the agreement has raised several questions, as it comes at a time of increased volatility in western Libya.

Clashes between major armed factions in Tripoli, including the Rada force and the 444 Brigade, have prompted warnings from the United Nations, which said that Libya is once again on the brink of violence. Critics argue that deeper foreign military ties may further complicate the situation rather than promote long-term stability.

The agreement is the latest in a series of military and geopolitical understandings between the two sides. In 2019, Turkiye signed a sweeping defense memorandum with Libya’s former Government of National Accord (GNA), followed by a controversial maritime border agreement that drew sharp criticism from several Mediterranean countries, including Greece, Egypt, and Cyprus.

The Turkish-Libyan defense alignment is widely seen as part of Ankara’s broader regional strategy. Analysts point to a pattern of Turkish engagement in conflict-prone areas, blending military agreements with political, economic, and energy ambitions. Similar models have been observed in Turkiye’s relationships with Bangladesh, Central Asia, and the South Caucasus.

In Libya, however, the domestic picture remains fragile. GNU control over the west is being challenged from within, and many observers fear that deepening military partnerships with foreign actors could erode what remains of Libya’s sovereignty.

Tags: libyaLibyan GovernmentMilitary DealTurkey
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